News RSS
Share this page
Thu 25/03/2021 - 07:53 EDT

Florida Derby 2021 Betting Picks

Saturday, March 27 features the $1 million Florida Derby (G1) at Gulfstream Park. The race features the return of dominant Holy Bull (G2) and Fountain of Youth (G3) winner Greatest Honour. But, with a big field of 11 horses set to compete in a perennially live Kentucky Derby prep, the Florida Derby is one of the most anticipated horse races of the year!

Horses bovada betonline gt-bets

Greatest Honor

+120 +120 +120


+400 +450 +400

Known Agenda

+500 +500 +500


+600 +600 +600

Nova Ragas

+1200 +1200 +1200


+1500 +1500 +1500

Quantum Lap

+2000 +2000  +1500

Soup and Sandwich

+2000 +2000 +2000


+3000 +3000 +3000

Southern Passage

+3000 +3000 +3000


+3000 +3000 +3000


Florida Derby Entries and Odds

The field for the Florida Derby was drawn on Wednesday, and here are the 2021 Florida Derby horses and jockeys:

  1. Nova Rags - Junior Alvarado
  2. Quantum Leap - Miguel Vasquez
  3. Jirafales - Edgard Zayas
  4. Southern Passage - Corey Lanerie
  5. Known Agenda - Irad Ortiz, Jr.
  6. Sigiloso - Leonel Reyes
  7. Greatest Honour - Jose Ortiz
  8. Soup and Sandwich - John Velazquez
  9. Collaborate - Tyler Gaffalione
  10. Spielberg - Javier Castellano
  11. Papetu - Emisael Jaramillo

Here are the odds on the major Florida Derby contenders from the best online racebooks.

Handicapping the Florida Derby

Before you bet the Florida Derby, it is a good time to get to know the key contenders.

Greatest Honour, Rising Star

Greatest Honour has starred in the Florida Derby prep races. Trained by Shug McGaughey, he went straight from a maiden race to the Holy Bull. Well behind the leaders early, he blew past in the lane like his foes were standing still. He impressed again in the Fountain of Youth, picking up steam late to catch talented pacesetter Drain the Clock to win by a length and a half.

Known Agenda Tries Again

Known Agenda was well beaten in both the Remsen (G2) and the Sam F. Davis (G3), and dropped to allowance company for a confidence builder. He added blinkers for that race February 26 at Gulfstream and ran the field off their feet, winning by eleven lengths. Irad Ortiz, Jr. rode then and returns for the Florida Derby.

Spielberg Goes West

Bob Baffert is always imposing when he ships a horse for a Derby prep. He trains Spielberg, who comes to Florida after a second-place finish behind champion Essential Quality in the Southwest Stakes (G3) at Oaklawn. A pace-versatile horse, he hopes to improve after a tough start and a wide trip that day.

Collaborate Tries Winners

Collaborate broke his maiden by twelve lengths on the Fountain of Youth undercard February 17. The son of Into Mischief won on the front end that day, though passed enough horses on his sprint debut February 6 to suggest he may not be one-way speed. Though, the Saffie Joseph, Jr. trainee will not have it easy, since this will be his first two-turn race and his first race against winners.

Florida Derby Longshots

Especially if you are planning to bet exotic wagers like the exacta, trifecta, and superfecta, it makes sense to think about the other Florida Derby contenders as well so you can pick a longshot to include.

Quantum Leap faces winners for the first time. He broke his maiden over the same mile and an eighth trip as the Florida Derby, and the Ian Wilkes trainee showed enough grit and stamina to win by a neck despite a protracted duel with the odds-on favorite.

Soup and Sandwich, trained by Mark Casse, has never faced winners before but he has shown enough talent to give him a shot in the Florida Derby. He has tactical speed, he won both of his races easily, and his jockey John Velazquez has won the Florida Derby five times already.

Nova Rags chased on for second in the Sam F. Davis, and his trainer Bill Mott has a good reputation for developing horses as they continue through their three-year-old season. He is bred well on both sides for the stretch out to a mile and an eighth.

Picking a Florida Derby Winner

When doing your Florida Derby handicapping, since this is an eleven-horse field, it pays to be wary of horses breaking from outside posts, especially at a short price. With a short run into the first turn, horses in gates 8 or wider often struggle, since they have to either work early to get a good position or race wide around the first turn.

You also want to make sure to look at horses who can handle the mile and an eighth distance. Known Agenda has won twice at a mile and an eighth, and Quantum Leap has won at the distance as well. Greatest Honour finished second behind Known Agenda in his only race at the distance, though he has improved since that race last November.

Betting the Florida Derby

If you are betting the Florida Derby online, it pays to find the best online racebook that will give you the features you need and the odds and bonuses you want. Before choosing where to place your Florida Derby bets, make sure to read our trusted reviews of online racebooks. They will help you choose the best place to play!

Florida Derby Expert Picks

Greatest Honour has done a lot to merit being the favorite, and his trainer Shug McGaughey has won the Florida Derby before with eventual Kentucky Derby winner Orb. However, Known Agenda has stamina and is getting good at the right time, and should provide good value in the win pool. Longshot Quantum Leap has tactical speed and proven mile and eighth stamina, and Soup and Sandwich has a perennially live jockey.

  • $10 Win: Known Agenda
  • $1 Trifecta Box: Known Agenda, Greatest Honour, Quantum Leap, Soup and Sandwich