Belmont Stakes Odds & Picks

Belmont Stakes Odds & Picks

Tiz the Law is the favorite for the 2020 Belmont Stakes, to be held June 20 at Belmont Park in Elmont, New York. The famous 1 ½ mile contest has been reduced to 1 1/8 miles for the 2020 edition and will run for a purse of $1 million instead of $1.5 million. Although the race will be run without spectators or owners, it is still one of the legs of the American Triple Crown and will draw worldwide interest.

Belmont Stakes Favorites

>Favorites recently haven’t done well in the Belmont Stakes, with only three (Justify, American Pharoah, Afleet Alex) winning in the last 15 years. Favorites in the Belmont have won at a 42% clip overall 151 editions of the race, which is considerably better than the average 30% most races see. But in the last 10 years, favorites have only won twice, with the winning payouts and favorite finish position as follows:

  • 2019: Sir Winston – $22.40 (Tacitus second)
  • 2018: Justify – $3.60 (Favored)
  • 2017: Tapwrit – $12.60 (Irish War Cry second)
  • 2016: Creator – $34.80 (Exaggerator eleventh)
  • 2015: American Pharoah – $3.50 (Favored)
  • 2014: Tonalist – $20.40 (California Chrome fourth)
  • 2013: Palace Malice – $29.60 (Orb third)
  • 2012: Union Rags – $7.50 (Dullahan seventh)
  • 2011: Ruler On Ice – $51.50 (Animal Kingdom sixth)
  • 2010: Drosselmeyer – $28.00 (Ice Box ninth) 

The average winning payout over the last ten years is $21.79.

Tiz the Law is going to be favored in the Belmont. The son of Constitution is a Grade 1 winner on the track after he won the Champagne Stakes last fall, one start after breaking his maiden at Saratoga. He bypassed the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) for the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) and ran third. This year, Tiz the Law is unbeaten in two tries, starting with the Holy Bull Stakes (G3) and followed by the Florida Derby (G1), both at Gulfstream Park. Barclay Tagg trains the bay colt for Sackatoga Stable.

Tagg and Sackatoga know the rigors of the Belmont well after bringing Funny Cide here for a shot at the Triple Crown in 2003. The popular New York-bred finished third, beaten by Empire Maker. Now Tiz the Law is giving his connections a second chance. Bettors can side with the favorite, or go against him for a good price at GTBets

Belmont Stakes Picks

Running against Tiz the Law in the 2020 Belmont Stakes are rivals Sole Volante, Dr Post, Farmington Road, Max Player, Tap It to Win, Pneumatic, Fore Left, and Jungle Runner.

A win by Max Player would make Linda Rice the first female trainer to take the Belmont. The son of Honor Code has won two of three starts; most recently taking the Grade 3 Withers Stakes at Aqueduct on February 1. The George Hall runner hasn’t started since, but he won by over three lengths that day after breaking his maiden by more than four lengths in Pennsylvania. Max Player will be ridden by Joel Rosario.

Trainer Todd Pletcher has two horses in the race. Both are by hot stallion Quality Road.

Dr Post has won two of three-lifetime starts. St. Elias Stable owns the colt, a dark bay, who broke his maiden at Gulfstream Park in his second start. He then won the $75,000 Unbridled Stakes there over 1 1/16-miles on the main track. Irad Ortiz, Jr was aboard that day and is expected to ride in the Belmont.

Farmington Road runs for Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Robert LaPenta, and Chrysalis Stables LLC. He has won only once in six starts but finished second in the Oaklawn Stakes at Oaklawn Park and fourth in both the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby and the Grade 2 Risen Star at the Fair Grounds.

Four-time winner Sole Volante is by $1.9 million earner and Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1) hero Karakontie (Jpn). After winning the Sam F. Davis (G3) at Tampa Bay in February, the bay gelding finished second, beaten nearly five lengths, in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2). That was a shocker as Sole Volante was favored and 49-1 King Guillermo upset the race. Patrick Biancone trains Sole Volante for Reeves Thoroughbred Racing and Andie Biancone.

Pneumatic will run for Steve Asmussen and Winchell Thoroughbreds. The son of Uncle Mo is out of a Tapit mare and has won two of his three starts. He was unbeaten in his first two tries, taking a maiden race and an allowance at Oaklawn Park over a mile before entering the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) at Churchill Downs. He finished third behind the unbeaten Maxfield, beaten less than two lengths. Maxfield is now injured and off the Triple Crown trail.

Tap It to Win is trained by Mark Casse for the Live Oak Plantation. The son of Tapit has won three of six starts, breaking his maiden at Saratoga in his second start after missing at Woodbine first out. He finished tenth in a pair of stakes in Kentucky but has returned to be unbeaten in 2020 with a pair of sharp allowance wins. The first was over six furlongs at Gulfstream Park in May, the second was 1 1/16-miles at Belmont June 4. That was by five lengths under John Velazquez, who will stay aboard for this rather than going to a Todd Pletcher runner.

Fore Left is a late addition to the race. The son of Twirling Candy runs for trainer Doug O’Neill and owner Paul Reddam. He won the UAE 2000 Guineas at Meydan in Dubai in his most recent start; that was February 6. Before that, he was the winner of the Sunny Slope Stakes at Santa Anita and the Tremont Stakes over this course last June. Fore Left has four wins in nine starts and two third-place finishes.

Tiz the Law is a deserving favorite and the most likely winner, but the Belmont has a history of upsets. Picking the Belmont Stakes winner can be difficult, so knowing as much information as possible is paramount. Bovada usually has great odds for the Belmont Stakes action.

Belmont Stakes Information

The Belmont Stakes is traditionally the final leg of the Triple Crown, but in 2020 will open the series for the first time. The Kentucky Derby has been moved to September 5, and the Preakness Stakes to October 3. There have been 13 Triple Crown winners to date: Sir Barton (1919), Gallant Fox (1930), Omaha (1935), War Admiral (1937), Whirlaway (1941), Count Fleet (1943), Assault (1946), Citation (1948), Secretariat (1973), Seattle Slew (1977), Affirmed (1978), American Pharoah (2015), and Justify (2018). Trainer Bob Baffert won the last two Triple Crowns, but does not have an entrant in 2020 after the injuries of Nadal and Charlatan.

The Belmont Stakes began in 1868. It has been run at four different tracks over the years, but all were in New York. Three fillies have won the race, most recently Rags to Riches did it in 2007. Trainer Todd Pletcher has three wins to date and has two in this race with Dr Post and Farmington Road.

Tiz the Law will attempt to be the fourth New York-bred to win the state’s biggest race. There is a lot of history to buck; the most recent to do it was in 1882.

The Belmont Stakes card has a host of other major stakes, and the days leading up to the race are filled with stakes action. Thursday, June 18 is the $125,000 Critical Eye Handicap for fillies and mares going a mile. Friday, June 19 is the $80,000 Sir Cat Stakes for three-year-olds sprinting on the grass.

The June 20 card has six major stakes races. Leading up to the Belmont is the:

  • $300,000 Acorn Stakes (G1)
  • $250,000 Jaipur Presented by America’s Best Racing (G1)
  • $250,000 Woody Stephens Presented by Claiborne Farm (G1)
  • $150,000 Pennine Ridge (G2)
  • $150,000 Wonder Again (G3)

The Acorn Stakes is a one-mile contest for three-year-old fillies. The race has been won by the likes of Ruffian, Davona Dale, and in 2019 saw Guarana defeated Kentucky Oaks winner Serengeti Empress in a thriller.

This year, New York stakes winner Water White will take on the unbeaten star Gamine for Bob Baffert in the Acorn. Gamine is two for two after wins at Santa Anita and Oaklawn Park, while Water White took the Busher Invitational at Aqueduct on March 7. The Rudy Rodriguez trainee has not raced since but has had some stiff breezes over the Belmont track, including a four-furlong move in 48.66 on June 9.

Gamine was a $1.8 million auction purchase last May and has gone unbeaten in two tries for Michael Lund Petersen. The Into Mischief filly has been training at Belmont Park this week. She originally cost $220,000 as a yearling.

The rest of the Acorn field is completed with Casual, Lucrezia, Perfect Alibi, and Pleasant Orb. The latter is trained by Tiz the Law’s trainer Barclay Tagg.

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